New Delhi: The 2024/25 Premier League season is officially halfway through and Liverpool are sitting comfortably at the top of the league. The Reds have a six point lead over Arsenal who are placed second and have played a game less than others as their Merseyside Derby against Everton was cancelled due to Storm Darragh. Arne Slot’s side seem to be running away with the title but the fight for European spots remains as tight as ever. Unlikely challengers Nottingham Forest sit third in the league and close behind them are Enzo Maresca’s Chelsea, rounding out the top four.
However, between 5th and 10th place in the table, only five points separate the sides, indicating that the fight for Europe will be intense this season. While things are heated and intense near the top of the league, things at the bottom are starting to get more and more clear as the games pass by. New Wolves manager Vitor Pereira has managed to pull his side away from the relegation zone for the time being and Ipswich Town’s recent win over Chelsea has boosted their hopes of survival this season.
The question though remains, who will get relegated come the end of the season given their performances in the first half of this campaign. Well, British Sports Analytics firm Opta have calculated the chances of survival of the clubs that are currently placed in the bottom six of the league at it’s not looking good for some of them. Let’s dive in to find out which clubs will survive and which won’t at the half way stage of the 2024/2025 Premier League season.
7) Southampton| League Position-20th| Chances 99.4%
Premier League’s bottom club, Southampton are almost guaranteed to go down this season as compiled by Opta. The Saints have only won one game all season till now and have picked up only six points in the league.For context, the worst side in Premier League history, 2007-08’s Derby County, had picked up one point more than Southampton have at the halfway point in the season. With their chances of going down at almost 100%, new manager Ivan Juric has a mammoth task at hand to steer his side away from relegation.
6) Leicester City| League Position-19th| Chances 74.6%
Another new manager battling to save his side from the drop is Manchester United legend Ruud Van Nistelrooy, who has failed to win any games as Leicester City manager since his debut win over West Ham. The Foxes have, admittedly, had an unfortunately tough run of fixtures during this time, coming up against in form sides like Newcastle and Liverpool but should’ve done better against Wolves. While they currently have the second best chance of going down, if they manage to turn the tide in this new year, Nistelrooy can still save his team.
5) Ipswich Town| League Position-18th| Chances 67.7%
Rounding up the bottom three with the three promoted sides, Ipswich Town’s chances of survival increased massively thanks to their huge win over Chelsea in their previous game. The Tractor Boys have less than 70% chances of going down at this point, and that is something not many predicted when the season started. They’re currently only one point away from safety and after the morale boosting win over Chelsea, they would be raring to go in 2025 and maintain their status as Premier League club.
4) Wolves| League Position-17th| Chances 39.2%
Had former manager Gary O’Neil still been at the helm, Wolves would’ve been more or less in a similar position to Southampton, such has been the impact of new manager Vitor Pereira. The Portuguese remains unbeaten as Wolves boss after his first three games in charge, masterminding wins over Leicester City and Manchester United and a draw away to Tottenham. Wolves have a new found confidence in the way they play under Pereira and their chances, as calculated by Opta, reflect that as they are currently safe from the drop.
3) Everton| League Position-16th| Chances 12.6%
After the turmoil the Toffees have gone through in terms of their ownership in the past few seasons, Everton can finally breathe easy now with new owners, The Freidkin Group taking over officially. During these trying times, manager Sean Dyche has steadied the ship well at Everton, consistently steering them away from relegation and he seems to have done so again this season. With 17 points from 18 games, Everton could’ve potentially been at 20 points had they played the 19th game, which is exactly half of the magic number needed to be safe from relegation.
2) Crystal Palace| League Position-15th| Chances 1.7%
Oliver Glasner’s side started the season in woeful form and seemed like early favourites for facing the drop this year but the Austrian manager has managed to repel any fears of relegation off-late. With only one loss in their last eight games, the Eagles have managed to distance themselves from the relegation dogfight and their chances of going down now stand at less than 2%. Glasner would be hoping to now make a charge for the top half of the table after having potentially left the relegation fight behind.
1) Manchester United| League Position-14th| Chances 0.1%
Manchester United fans can rest easy knowing that Opta doesn’t think they’ll be going down this season. While the club have been showing relegation form this season and haven’t been even in the top half of the league table for what seems like centuries now, their chances of relegation are negligible. Even though head coach Ruben Amorim stated that it might be a possibility, things need to go horribly wrong for the Red Devils to be embroiled in a relegation battle, which seems extremely unlikely at this point.
The chances of survival of the current bottom seven of the Premier League have been revealed and it’s not looking good for the bottom placed club. Dive in to find out what are their chances of playing top flight football next season! Football Sports News: Latest Cricket News, Cricket Live Score, Sports Breaking News from Sports Today
