Three national polls released on Sunday indicate a tightening presidential race, with former President Donald Trump closing in on Vice President Kamala Harris just 23 days before the election. This shift marks a significant change from September, when Harris appeared to be gaining ground over Trump.
Key polling numbers
An ABC/Ipsos poll of likely voters shows Harris leading Trump 50% to 48%, a decline from her six-point advantage just a month ago. Similarly, a CBS/YouGov poll reveals Harris at 51% compared to Trump’s 48%, down from a four-point lead in September. Notably, an NBC poll of registered voters shows a dead heat, with both candidates tied at 48%—a considerable drop from Harris’s previous lead of 49% to 44%.
The bigger picture
While these national polls provide insight into the current state of the race, they do not necessarily predict the outcome of the Electoral College. As the election date approaches, the competition remains fierce.
In Pennsylvania, a crucial state for both candidates, Harris received positive news from a New York Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena College survey, which showed her leading Trump 50% to 47%. However, the vice president faced challenges in Arizona, trailing Trump 51% to 46% in that state.
As Election Day draws near, the contest between Harris and Trump is shaping up to be an extremely close race. A critical factor will be whether Harris can maintain her support in key states, especially in the traditionally Democratic-leaning Blue Wall, to secure her path to victory.
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